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Hot, dry, and windy conditions in California have sparked big fires

Seasonal winds and ample fuel have created a “recipe for explosive fire growth” in California.

A firefighting helicopter works the Saddleridge Fire on October 11, 2019, near Porter Ranch, California.
A firefighting helicopter works the Saddleridge Fire on October 11, 2019, near Porter Ranch, California.
New wildfires have ignited in different parts of California this week as high winds and dry conditions persist.
Mario Tama/Getty Images
Umair Irfan
Umair Irfan was a correspondent at Vox writing about climate change, energy policy, and science. He is a regular contributor to the radio program Science Friday. Prior to Vox, he was a reporter for ClimateWire at E&E News.

Wildfires are burning across California this week as risks for more blazes remain high throughout the state. Warm dry weather and strong seasonal winds this week have created a “recipe for explosive fire growth,” according to the National Weather Service.

The state’s largest fire currently is the Saddleridge Fire burning near Los Angeles. As of Saturday, the blaze has spread over 7,500 acres and was 19 percent contained, shutting down highways and schools in the area. About 100,000 people in Southern California are under mandatory evacuation orders.

Meanwhile, the Briceburg Fire has now burned more than 5,100 acres near Yosemite National Park. The California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, or Cal Fire, reported that the blaze was 49 percent contained as of Saturday morning.

Another fire in Riverside County on Thursday destroyed 74 buildings, damaged 16 more, and killed one person.

Pacific Gas & Electric, California’s largest utility, took the drastic step this week of shutting down power to 738,000 of its own customers in northern California, a move that left millions in the dark. The fear was that high winds would bring dry wood or brush into contact with power infrastructure and spark fires. And after being found liable for billions of dollars in damages for igniting past wildfires, including the Camp Fire in 2018, the utility is being especially cautious.

As of Saturday, PG&E reported that power has been restored to 98 percent of its customers.

However, the public safety power shutoff was criticized by public officials ranging from California’s governor to presidential candidates, who argued that the blackouts stem from PG&E’s poor planning and management.

Southern California Edison, a utility serving the southern part of the state, also shut off power to thousands of customers on Friday and may cut off electricity to more as “red flag” warnings of fire risk remain in effect.

While the immediate conditions this week have made California ripe for ignition, the factors behind the growing destruction of blazes in the state have been building for years. California’s fire season now stretches throughout the year, and the risk of more blazes will remain high in the coming weeks.

Fire conditions remain severe throughout California

The wildfires in California this year so far have been relatively mild, but recent devastating fires are fresh in the minds of many. In 2017 and 2018, the state experienced some of its worst fires on record including the Camp Fire, the state’s deadliest and most destructive fire that essentially destroyed the town of Paradise.

Several factors are at play in the fires this week. Warm, dry weather met rising seasonal winds. In northern California, these are known as Diablo winds. In the south, they’re known as the Santa Ana winds. They often pick up strength in the fall.

These dry seasonal winds can gust at 70 mph, so when they meet burning grass, shrubs, or trees, they can spread flames rapidly over a huge area.

This year, a wet winter and spring also led to a bumper crop of vegetation throughout the state. This was followed by an exceptionally hot summer. The extreme heat caused the vegetation to dry out and become kindling for blazes.

Long-term trends like climate change are also increasing the size of — and potential for destruction from — wildfires. Rising average temperatures has led to forests in the western United States drying out and becoming more flammable. Researchers report that this warming has been a significant contributor to increasing wildfire risk in California.

California has also suffered years of drought. This has left trees vulnerable to pests like bark beetles. There are now more than 149 million dead trees throughout the state. While dead trees don’t necessarily lead to increased fire risk, they pose a hazard to wildland firefighters.

Land management practices like suppressing naturally occurring fires have also allowed fuel to build in wilderness areas. More construction and development in locations close to areas prone to burn has raised the likelihood of sparking a fire and increased the destruction from the blazes that result.

These factors have built up for decades, and it will take a long time to drive down risks. In the meantime, California will have to contend with the potential for devastating wildfires and drastic responses like blackouts.

Forecasters now report that wind speeds are slowing down. But fire conditions remain severe and the current blazes may continue to spread further.

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